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Container ship at sea

Ocean freight rates: what to plan for this year

Capacity is returning faster than demand on most headhaul lanes. Here is how to build a budget that survives the correction.

Ocean9 min read

Rate forecasting on ocean freight is mostly an exercise in humility, but the structural picture this year is clearer than usual: new tonnage is entering service faster than volumes are growing.

For shippers, that argues for shorter contract commitments on volatile lanes and longer ones where you genuinely value schedule reliability over headline price.